John Dotson
In early February, the PLA provided a lunar new year message to the people of Taiwan in the form of a music video, which clearly threatened offensive military action against the island if it did not embrace Beijing’s demands for unification. The video provides a curious but illustrative example of the CCP’s overt political warfare against Taiwan, and further reinforces that Beijing is likely to pursue a hardline policy toward Taiwan in the year ahead.
Pubopinion feature
Amrita Jash
Beijing has developed its narrative around the idea of “One-China,” presenting the “One-China Principle” as a basic international norm. China restates this position in the context of a misreading of UN Resolution 2758. However, China’s claim is misleading, since there exist many different positions amongst different countries regarding the issue of Taiwan's sovereignty.
china feature
Thomas Shattuck
Benjamin Lewis
The December 2023 confirmation that a Chinese balloon flew into Taiwan’s air defense identification zone has sparked more questions than answers regarding the frequency and capabilities of the balloons, as well as the Ministry of National Defense’s policies for responding (or not responding) to the balloons after they enter Taiwan’s airspace and fly over Taiwanese territory.
XiJinping Feature

Read our latest occasional report

In recent years, the People’s Republic of China (PRC) has greatly expanded its use of geoeconomic tools as part of its broader campaign to exert influence and reshape the global order. Perhaps predictably, Taiwan has faced the brunt of these efforts, forced to contend with a vast array of Chinese operations, from targeted trade barriers to large-scale economic infiltration campaigns. Despite Taiwan’s tireless efforts to push back against these tactics, Beijing’s geoeconomic policies could nevertheless pose substantial risks to the island’s economic and national security. Given Taiwan’s crucial role in global supply chains—particularly in the semiconductor sector—a threat to Taiwan represents a threat to the international economic system. 

Recognizing that the US-Taiwan partnership is the strongest safeguard against Beijing’s coercive economic policy, the report’s authors provide an in-depth survey of geoeconomic cooperation between Washington, Taipei, and other likeminded capitals, finding that such collaboration is currently insufficient to meet the threat posed by the PRC. In response, they offer a variety of recommendations intended to expand and formalize geoeconomic ties between the United States and Taiwan, with the aim of developing a comprehensive and enduring strategy for countering China’s challenge.

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